FalseActive
“Climate change is natural — humans aren’t the cause”
Counter: The warming tracks our fossil-fuel use exactly; every major science academy agrees. Debunk on raia → · Fact-check: PesaCheck ↗
Live
Extractive pressure and civil society response, county by county.
Convened by deCOALonize — a coalition opposing coal development and advancing a just energy transition across Kenya and the region.
“A one stop shop that can let you know in a heartbeat what the climate justice ecosystem looks like — and is essentially a call to action.”
Counties under active extractive pressure
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of 47 · from current pressure scores
Counties with no organised response
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No coalition member reporting
Live legal & regulatory matters sourced
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Tracked cases & submissions
National response gap index
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Data status: legal matters, the organisation network, mapped projects and operators, the news & media pulse, and the COP31 countdown are sourced and current. County pressure scores are the coalition's working estimates, pending community scoring.
Streaming · auto-updating
Live intelligence
Six streams the sector needs to act on. Counts are rolling 30-day totals; the feed below each shows what has just come in.
Road to Antalya
COP31 countdown & commitment tracker
What was actually agreed at COP30 in Belém, what has moved since, where Kenya stands on each, and how far short the delivery is falling as the next conference approaches.
COP31 opens in
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0hrs
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Antalya Expo Center, Antalya, Türkiye · 9–20 November 2026
World Leaders' Summit 11–12 November · since Belém closed
Kenya's own exposure
80% of Kenya's 2035 climate pledge is conditional on international finance that COP30 did not secure.
Kenya's second NDC commits to cutting emissions 35% below business-as-usual by 2035 — 75.25 MtCO₂e. Only 20% is funded domestically. The pledge carries a USD 56 billion price tag. Belém set a target to triple adaptation finance by 2035, with no interim milestone and no burden-sharing formula. The money and the deadline do not line up.
Belém → Antalya
Commitment delivery tracker
Committed at COP30 Delivered so far
Sources: Carbon Brief and UN News on the Belém Package · UNFCCC COP31 · Climate Action Tracker and Kenya's Second NDC (2031–2035) · Africa Adaptation Initiative and Daily Nation on the Africa Group position. Progress percentages are the Hub's own assessment against what was agreed, not an official UNFCCC metric.
All 47 counties
National extraction & response map
Where extractive and environmental pressure is actively happening — and whether anyone is organised to respond to it. Two independent sources: community scoring by people who know the ground, and the radar scanner reading news and regulatory feeds. Where they disagree is worth looking at.
Low
High
Real county boundaries, simplified from 30,308 points to 1,470 for page weight. Resource markers show the sites actually being extracted or under pressure.
Widest response gaps
Where nobody is watching
High extractive pressure, little or no organised civil society presence. These are the counties where a modest intervention would change the most.
Network coverage
Sector & geography gap map
Pick a sector and see it on the map: green where a locally-rooted organisation works it, ember where the pressure has no local response. Markers show where organisations are actually based. Switch source to see where the radar and the community disagree on the gap.
Local organisation working it
National reach only
No response
Low pressure
Circles are organisations, placed at the county they are based in and coloured by type. National organisations cluster at Nairobi with a ring.
Coverage at a glance
Every sector's response, by region
Tap a sector to load it on the map above. Each square is a region, coloured by whether a locally-rooted organisation covers it.
Local organisation embedded
National reach only
No response
Low pressure
Priority
Widest sector-geography gaps
Strategic litigation & policy
Legal & policy map
Where the coalition's key legal fights are happening, and what's at stake in each. Tap a county to see the case, its status, and why it matters. Every entry is citeable as a primary source in submissions and filings.
Won / precedent
Active case
Policy / watching
No case logged
Counties are shaded by the status of their headline case; several policy matters sit at the national level and show on Nairobi.
Full list
Every matter, in detail
Who is responding
Network map & directory
Not just head offices — where each organisation actually runs programmes or funds a local partner, and who funds whom. The map shades every county by how many organisations are active there; tap a county to see who and what, or tap an organisation to trace its footprint and its funding chain from the international funders through Nairobi out to the field.
Programme locations are researched from public sources; a few (marked *) are inferred and await the coalition's confirmation. Head offices show as markers — national organisations cluster at Nairobi with a ring — while the county shading counts everyone actually working there, HQ or not. Maintain this in the Organisations & Programmes tabs of the scoring sheet.
Directory
Every organisation
Socials & sentiment · narrative intelligence
Sentiment & disinformation
Real, current items on Kenyan climate & environmental justice — scanned from news and from the coalition's own X pulse, with a stance read from the justice vantage (supportive · neutral · critical). An overall public-mood index will switch on once the automated scanner is connected.
Latest scanned items
The StandardFour days trapped: Six miners feared dead in Turkana gold mine collapseResearch
Business DailyCourt fight erupts over Nairobi National Park development planSupportive
Kenyans.co.keNearly 5 acres cleared for new Nairobi animal orphanage, satellite images showSupportive
MongabayEnvironmental activists in Kenya concerned over billionaire's planned oil refinerySupportive
Daily NationClimate, environmental activists reject Dangote's proposed Sh2.2 trillion Lamu oil refinerySupportive
Kenyans.co.keDangote wants government protection for Ksh2.2 trillion Lamu refineryCritical
Kahawa Tungu17 arrested over Siaya nuclear public participation freed on bondSupportive
MongabayKenyans protesting the Siaya nuclear facility face a terrorism investigationSupportive
Kenyans.co.keSenate issues 7-day ultimatum over illegal gold dredging in River YalaSupportive
Streamline FeedDangote shakes East Africa with KES 2.2 trillion Lamu oil refineryCritical
Community pulse · live from X
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The StandardIn the news · 18 Aug 2026
Turkana · GoldFour days after a gold-mine gorge collapsed in Naduat, Nakalale Ward, six trapped miners are now feared dead — with residents warning the real toll could be far higher and NEMA flagging polluted water and open pits.
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Kenyans.co.keIn the news · 18 Aug 2026
Nairobi · WaterSakaja unveils an El Niño plan after mapping 227 flood hotspots in Nairobi, setting up five response teams to clear rivers and drains before the forecast heavy rains arrive.
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Kenyans.co.keIn the news · 15 Aug 2026
Nairobi Park · LandSatellite images show nearly 5 acres of Nairobi National Park cleared for the relocated animal orphanage — still bare weeks after the Environment and Land Court halted the project, with KWS silent on who did the clearing.
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Greenpeace AfricaIn the news · 14 Aug 2026
Wild Coast · OilSouth Africa's Constitutional Court permanently sets aside Shell's Wild Coast oil-and-gas exploration right — a landmark win for coastal communities, ocean justice and environmental rights that resonates across the continent.
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MongabayIn the news · 09 Aug 2026
Bondo · NuclearKenyans protesting the proposed Bondo nuclear plant now face terrorism-act investigation after one person was shot at a public consultation meeting near Lake Victoria.
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The Washington PostIn the news · 04 Aug 2026
Kenya · CarbonKenya unveils one of Africa's most detailed carbon-market rule books, capping overseas credit sales at 10 million tonnes to 2030 and adding a central registry to curb double-counting and strengthen community benefit-sharing.
The recurring, slow-moving disinformation types — the evergreen myth narratives — with debunks anchored to public fact-checks (PesaCheck, Africa Uncensored). These spread over months; the fast, live version is under Narrative disinfo. Public debunks on raia ↗.
4 active
1 monitoring
1 debunked
Reviewed weekly
MisleadingActive
“Kenya is too poor for climate — development first”
Counter: For most Kenyans the environment IS the economy; drought and floods already cost billions a year. Debunk on raia → · Source: 350Africa ↗
MisleadingMonitoring
“Carbon credits are free money for communities”
Counter: Little pay, lost grazing control, decades-long contracts — Kenya’s biggest project was suspended twice. Debunk on raia → · Investigation: Africa Uncensored ↗
Missing contextActive
“The Lamu refinery will make petrol cheap for all”
Counter: Fuel prices follow the global market and owner terms; "60,000 jobs" is a pre-plan promise. Debunk on raia → · Context: Daily Nation ↗
FalseActive
“Activists are foreign-funded agents blocking progress”
Counter: The defenders are the affected communities themselves; the label is a global silencing tactic. Debunk on raia →
Manipulated mediaDebunked
“Viral photo proves the drought/floods are staged”
Counter: Old/unrelated images relabelled; real events are measured by the met department, satellites and hospitals. Debunk on raia →
Live, fast-moving disinformation as it surfaces on social media — the context-specific, bad-faith framings used to discredit real science, real impacts, and the communities defending land and water. Each post is flagged and rebutted inline; tap View full post to open it in raia ↗ with the debunk attached, so the correction travels with the claim. Drafting & verification happen in the admin console.
6 flagged this weekRebutted inlineOpens in raia● Auto-scanned weekly
False dilemma
↳ Coalition rebuttal
"Jobs or compliance" is a false choice. The suspension order lists unpaid mineral royalties, failure to honour Community Development Agreements, weak local hiring and skills transfer, and environmental-compliance shortcomings at Lake Magadi — a fragile Rift Valley soda lake. Requiring a company that has mined a public resource since 1911 to pay what it owes and meet its community and environmental obligations is the benefit-sharing the Constitution's Article 69 demands, not "anti-jobs bureaucracy." The real risk to those 1,000 jobs is a business model that treats compliance as optional.
Bait-and-switch
↳ Coalition rebuttal
Energy poverty is real — but this is the "Fossil Fuels for Africa" account, and "solving energy poverty" is its standard setup for arguing the fix is coal, oil and gas. It isn't: Africa's fastest, cheapest gains are coming from the renewables, mini-grids and clean cooking already scaling across the continent, and Kenya's own grid already runs about 90% renewable. Wrapping the dirtiest, slowest option in the language of poverty relief is the bait-and-switch — the same account elsewhere states it plainly: "Fossil Fuels for Africa is how we free their time."
False dilemma
↳ Coalition rebuttal
"Development or conservation" is a false choice. Nobody is asking to freeze roads or hospitals — only that projects inside a gazetted public forest follow the law: the public participation and environmental assessment required by Articles 69 and 70 of the Constitution. Those safeguards were skipped, which is why the Green Belt Movement has gone to court and why the government was forced to convene public participation on the airstrip. Clearing forest first and consulting later isn't development; it's skipping the rules that make development lawful.
Defender smear
↳ Coalition rebuttal
Questioning where a nuclear plant sits — the habitation-free radius, Lake Victoria's water, where the waste goes — is civic participation protected by Articles 69 and 70 of the Constitution and required by NEMA's own environmental-impact process. Residents in Siaya, including those arrested this week in Bondo, are raising exactly those questions. Profiling and jailing peaceful objectors doesn't answer them; it avoids them.
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Circulating on X~12k reposts · 3h ago · trending ↑
"The 'activists' fighting the Lamu refinery are funded by foreign oil companies that don't want Africa to refine its own fuel. This is sabotage, not environmentalism."
▶ Watch: the fuller picture · NTV Kenya · Lamu · YouTube ↗
↻ 12k · ♥ 34k · 💬 2.1k🔗 View original in raia →
Bad-faith framing
↳ Coalition rebuttal
The opposition is led by Lamu's own fishers, Save Lamu and Greenpeace Africa — the same communities that stopped the coal plant. Attacking who's asking sidesteps the real questions: the UNESCO seascape, imported crude, and where the "60,000 jobs" figure comes from.
♪
Circulating on TikTok41k views · yesterday
"Kenya is already 90% renewable, so this refinery is just extra clean development. Greenpeace just wants Africans to stay poor and in the dark."
▶ Watch: the fuller picture · Olkaria geothermal · YouTube ↗
▶ 41k · ♥ 8.2k · 💬 903🔗 View original in raia →
Bait-and-switch
↳ Coalition rebuttal
Correct that the grid is 90%+ renewable — which is exactly why a fossil refinery adds nothing to household power. It's built for export and regional fuel markets, not your lights. "Poor and in the dark" is a slogan, not a consequence of asking for the environmental study.
Explore · Pledges
Corporate accountability index — pledges vs reality
The banks, oil majors and state financiers whose choices shape Kenya's — and Africa's — energy future, held against their own public climate promises. Each call is the coalition's read of the public record; follow the sources and judge for yourself.
Ratings reflect the cited public record and change as commitments and conduct change. Spot something out of date, or an entity we should add? Share it via the Exchange.
Knowledge, tools, and openings
Resource & opportunity desk
Convenings & barazas
What's coming up
Meet · convene · coordinate
Virtual space
A coalition video room — start one now, or schedule a call and share the invite with members. Runs on Jitsi Meet in your browser; no account or install needed.
Coalition room
A private, unguessable room shared by the coalition. For sensitive calls, turn on the lobby once inside.
Instant minutes
Meeting notes → shareable PDF
Capture decisions and action items live. Generate a formatted PDF the moment the call ends and share it with everyone — no three-week wait for minutes.
Action items
The video room's own controls can also record the call where your Jitsi server allows it.
Scheduled
Upcoming calls
Cross-published from raia.mazingirakenya.org
Community voices
Field documentation from members — photos, video, audio, and social posts from what's happening in their communities. Share yours below; it goes to moderation, then to the feed.
Shared — thank you.
In the moderation queue; it'll appear once reviewed. Reference .
Recent
From the community
Collective demands
Petitions & memoranda
Coalition demands to duty-bearers — courts, county assemblies, ministries, financiers. Members start one here; anyone can add their name. Share it to gather public support on raia.
Intelligence & action desk
Je, Hatua? — intelligence to action
The rest of this platform tells you what the climate-justice ecosystem looks like. This desk turns that into two things a decision-maker can act on: a standing intelligence brief drawn from the live platform, and specific, fundable projects that close the gaps the map has found.
Standing intelligence brief
MazingiraKenya Intelligence Brief
Composed live from the streams on Live, the county gaps on the National Map, the coverage grid on Sector Gaps, and the public mood on Sentiment. Written for policymakers, funders and researchers.
Illustrative data · confirm before circulating externally
Are you a funder or a government office?
0 fundable projects are mapped to specific, evidenced gaps — each names the county, the sector, the budget and the funder fit.
Every project below is anchored to a gap you can see elsewhere on this platform — a county with pressure and no response, or a proposed project with no organised scrutiny. Budgets are indicative planning figures, not quotes.
Tier 1 → Tier 2 · takes a minute
Report what you're seeing
Seen extraction, a new project, an eviction, or a response nobody's tracking? Tell us in a few taps — no login, no forms to download. It goes straight to the moderation queue and helps keep the map honest.
Everything is reviewed before it appears. The Programs and Campaign Lead checks each report within five working days and applies data-privacy filters under the Kenya Data Protection Act 2019.
Report received — thank you.
It's in the moderation queue and will be reviewed within five working days. Reference .
Submitting full content? (video, audio, documents, a sub-grant report)
For partner and sub-grantee focal points with files to upload. Same five-working-day review and privacy filtering.
Submission received.
Your item is in the moderation queue. You'll hear back within five working days. Reference .
Want to add or update a county pressure score with evidence? — opens right here, no download.